Photo by: AFP
 An HIV-positive woman lies  in her wooden house in central Phnom Penh. Despite impressive progress in  reducing HIV rates in Cambodia, the Kingdom may still not meet its Millennium  Development Goals for health. 
 The Phnom Penh  Post
 Written by Robbie  Corey-Boulet
Friday, 27 February 2009 
 Though the Kingdom has  made progress since the health-related development goals were adopted, officials  must now combat emergent trends as well as problems that persist WHEN Mony Pen  discovered five years ago that she was HIV-positive, the list of things she did  not know about the disease included how she got it, how she could treat it and  how long she could live with it.
"People told me I was probably going to  die very soon," said the 28-year-old Phnom Penh native, who learned of her  status only when her husband, a policeman, died of full-blown Aids two years  after they married.
These days, Mony Pen, now an adviser to the Cambodian  Community of Women Living with HIV/Aids (CCW), knows all about transmission and  treatment, and can discuss in detail everything from antiretroviral drugs to the  threats posed by opportunistic infection.
She also knows this expertise  sets her apart from the majority of Cambodian women, particularly those outside  Phnom Penh. The 2005 Cambodia Demographic and Health Survey (CDHS) found, for  example, that 67 percent of women in Mondulkiri and Ratanakkiri provinces  believed HIV/Aids could be transmitted by a mosquito bite and 56 percent  believed it could be spread "by supernatural means".
Mony Pen said she  believes this lack of knowledge could fuel a resurgence of the disease that  might erase the much-touted gains made against it in recent years.
This  concern is not hers alone. UNAIDS Country Director Tony Lisle told the Post this  week that several trends - in particular, the rise in so-called indirect sex  work performed in beer halls and karaoke bars - could trigger an increase in new  infections that might even "set the scene for a second-wave epidemic".
In  this regard, Cambodia's fight against HIV/Aids resembles its broader effort to  meet targets under the three health-related Millennium Development Goals  (MDGs).
With some exceptions, notably in the area of maternal health,  available data shows that Cambodia met or exceeded targets for 2005 and is  likely to do the same in 2010 and 2015. But certain recent trends have muddied  the picture, reinforcing the fact that progress is not  inevitable.
Speaking in reference to HIV/Aids, Lisle captured a widely  held view of the general health picture in the Kingdom, one articulated in  recent interviews by doctors, NGO workers and government officials: "Yes,  Cambodia, you've done a fabulous job," he said. "But it's not over."  
 
Photo by:  SOVANN PHILONG 
An  HIV-positive three-year-old child plays at home in Phnom Penh after receiving  treatment at a Phnom Penh hospital
A FOUR-PART LOOK AT CAMBODIA'S  MDGS
Last year marked the midway point for achieving the Millennium  Development Goals, benchmarks for developing countries established in 2000 that  cover everything from poverty to environmental sustainability. Last year also  marked the five-year anniversary of the adoption of Cambodia's Millennium  Development Goals, the localised versions of the global goals. In a four-part  series, the Post looks at the progress made and the challenges that remain in  achieving targets set for 2010 and 2015, drawing on government data as well as  interviews with officials, NGO workers and Cambodians who stand to benefit from  the effort. Part Two looks at the goals for child mortality, maternal health and  diseases such as HIV/Aids.
Child mortality
A  recent survey assessing the impact of rising food prices on child health  underscored the tenuous nature of progress made in pursuit of MDG No 4: to  reduce child mortality.
The Cambodian Anthropometric Survey, findings of  which were made public last week, found that the percentage of children  classified as acutely malnourished - the number of which had fallen by half  between 2000 and 2005 - increased from 8.4 percent in 2005 to 8.9 percent in  2008.
The strong link between child malnutrition and child mortality -  noted, among other places, in the 2005 assessment of MDG targets published by  the Ministry of Planning - suggests that, in light of the survey results,  Cambodia might have trouble meeting its 2015 target mortality rate for children  younger than five: 65 deaths per 1,000 live births.
The survey results  run counter to Cambodia's recent performance in the area of child health.  Between 1998 and 2005, the under-five child mortality rate fell from 124 per  1,000 live births to 82, far surpassing the target of 105.
Viorica  Berdaga, chief of child survival at Unicef, said via email that this decline  could be attributed to factors including better access to safe water and the  promotion of breastfeeding, which provides children with disease-fighting  antibodies.
But Berdaga also noted that the mortality decline was in part  due to a lowered fertility rate, which calls into question Cambodia's ability to  reduce child mortality even further.
In its 2005 assessment, the Ministry  of Planning noted that fertility declines have had a similar effect on child  mortality in other developing countries but that, in most cases, "the initial  positive impact" was "not enough to sustain continued improvement in child  mortality due to underlying causal factors". Berdaga said this assessment could  be applied to Cambodia as well.
Asked to predict whether Cambodia would  meet the 2015 child mortality target, Berdaga could say only that the Kingdom  "has a chance".
Maternal health
If current trends  continue, several experts said, Cambodia has little, if any, chance of achieving  targets set under the fifth MDG: to improve maternal health.
The most  recent reliable data shows that the maternal health situation has worsened as of  late. The Cambodia Demographic and Health Survey (CDHS) found that the maternal  mortality rate per 100,000 live births had increased from 437 in 1997 to 472 in  2005. The interim target for that year was 343.
In a recent email  interview, however, Pen Sophanara, a communications associate for the United  Nations Population Fund, emphasised the "promising signs" she said could  potentially reverse the trend, including higher rates of deliberate birth-  spacing.
She echoed the conclusion presented in the 2005 Ministry of  Planning assessment that officials could significantly lower the maternal  mortality rate by providing more family planning resources, which allow women to  allot sufficient time between pregnancies. Longer gaps between pregnancies tend  to result in smoother pregnancies and healthier infants.
On top of  limited family planning, Pen Sophanara said efforts to improve maternal health  continued to be hindered by a shortage of midwives and skilled birth  attendants.
She said the Ministry of Health was aiming to have one  midwife stationed at each of the Kingdom's health centres by the end of the  year. In addition to bolstering recruitment, she said, officials will need to  distribute resources to rural health centres to ensure midwives can be  effective.
Kek Galabru, president of the rights group Licadho, said  midwives should be able to take blood samples, conduct ultrasounds and screen  for potential delivery complications.
She also stressed that midwives  should be adequately paid so they do not collect informal fees, a practice that  prevents very poor women from accessing health services.
Pen Sophanara  said midwife recruitment and other efforts in place could potentially yield a  drop in the maternal mortality rate, pushing it closer to the goal of 140 deaths  per 100,000 live births by 2015.
"Nobody wants to see women die giving  lives," she said. "If these figures continue to be positive, maternal death will  be lowered."
    Photo by: ROBBIE  COREY-BOULETMony Pen, whose late husband gave her HIV, works to give women  access to HIV/Aids information. 
 The HIV/Aids  fight
One target already surpassed is that pertaining to HIV/Aids  infection, a leading indicator of progress made in achieving the sixth MDG: to  combat HIV/Aids, malaria and other diseases.
Meeting the target resulted  in part because of a statistical error that caused the rate of infection in the  late-1990s - which was used as a base in establishing benchmarks through 2015 -  to be artificially inflated when the MDGs were adopted. Because of the  adjustment that occurred when better data became available, current rates of  infection are already lower than the targets.
For example, the estimated  prevalence among Cambodian adults in 2006 was 0.9 percent, lower than the 2005  target (2.3 percent), the 2010 target (2 percent) and even the 2015 target (1.8  percent).
According to a 2008 UNAIDS report, however, Cambodia's  prevalence rate is the second-highest among all countries in South and Southeast  Asia (only Thailand's is higher). And, while acknowledging progress, Lisle and  other experts cited a range of persistent problems.
Mony Pen said she has  concluded from her own observations that discrimination against those infected  with the disease remains high.
Sou Sina, 29, who is from Sihanoukville  and now works at CCW in Phnom Penh, said she encountered this very obstacle when  she tested positive at the age of 20.
"At the time, my family took care  of me, but they were afraid," she said. "They didn't understand the disease. And  that broke my heart." 
 
Like Mony Pen, Sou  Sina learned of her status only when her husband died. She also found out then  that her son had been infected through mother-to-child transmission, but she did  not know how to obtain treatment for him. He died two years later - at the age  of four - of tuberculosis.
Lisle said it is common for women to become  infected by their husbands unwittingly. In addition, he pointed to data  suggesting that programs designed to prevent mother-to-child transmission have  been ineffective.
Data from 2008 indicated a mother-to-child transmission  rate for HIV-positive pregnant women of 35 percent.
Lisle said Cambodia  has traditionally "led the region" in the fight against HIV/Aids, adding that he  has every reason to believe this will continue. But a failure to respond to  these emergent trends, he said, could quickly render the Kingdom's recent  progress aberrational.
In Cambodia, Lisle cautioned, there exists the  threat of "a second epidemic waiting right around the corner".